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Social Sciences - Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education

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Book Synopsis: The decisions we make in the next five years are critical in determining whether colleges thrive or flounder. 2017 National Student Clearinghouse Research Center Award for Outstanding AACRAO SEM Research Presentation Higher education faces a looming demographic storm. Decades-long patterns in fertility, migration, and immigration persistently nudge the country toward the Hispanic Southwest. As a result, the Northeast and Midwest—traditional higher education strongholds—expect to lose 5 percent of their college-aged populations between now and the mid-2020s. Furthermore, and in response to the Great Recession, child-bearing has plummeted. In 2026, when the front edge of this birth dearth reaches college campuses, the number of college-aged students will drop almost 15 percent in just 5 years. In Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, Nathan D. Grawe has developed the Higher Education Demand Index (HEDI), which relies on data from the 2002 Education Longitudinal Study (ELS) to estimate the probability of college-going using basic demographic variables. Analyzing demand forecasts by institution type and rank while disaggregating by demographic groups, Grawe provides separate forecasts for two-year colleges, elite institutions, and everything in between. The future demand for college attendance, he argues, depends critically on institution type. While many schools face painful contractions, for example, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by more than 15 percent in future years. Essential for administrators and trustees who are responsible for recruitment, admissions, student support, tenure practices, facilities construction, and strategic planning, this book is a practical guide for navigating coming enrollment challenges.

Details

Discover the groundbreaking insights of Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, the book that sheds light on the critical decisions we must make to ensure the success of colleges in the face of a looming demographic storm. As the recipient of the prestigious 2017 National Student Clearinghouse Research Center Award for Outstanding AACRAO SEM Research Presentation, this book is a must-read for anyone invested in the future of higher education.

Are you aware of the challenges that higher education is facing? The patterns in fertility, migration, and immigration have been steadily moving towards the Hispanic Southwest, causing the Northeast and Midwest to anticipate a staggering 5 percent decline in their college-aged populations by the mid-2020s. Additionally, in response to the Great Recession, child-bearing rates have dropped significantly. Brace yourself for a birth dearth that will cause the number of college-aged students to plummet by almost 15 percent in just 5 years. But fear not, as Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education provides a solution to navigate through these challenges.

Authored by Nathan D. Grawe, this book introduces the Higher Education Demand Index (HEDI), a revolutionary tool that forecasts college-going probabilities based on essential demographic variables derived from the 2002 Education Longitudinal Study (ELS). By analyzing demand forecasts, institution type, and rank, and breaking them down by demographic groups, Grawe offers separate forecasts for two-year colleges, elite institutions, and everything in between. With this valuable information, administrators and trustees gain actionable insights into recruitment, admissions, student support, tenure practices, facilities construction, and strategic planning.

Picture this: while many institutions face painful contractions, the demand for elite schools is projected to increase by more than 15 percent in the coming years. With Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, you'll be equipped with the knowledge to steer your institution towards success, even in the face of adversity.

If you're ready to overcome the challenges of the future and secure a prosperous future for your college, now is the time to act. Don't miss out on this practical guide that will help you navigate the enrollment challenges ahead. Get your copy of Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education today, and be prepared for the demographic revolution!

Click here to get your copy now!

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