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Anthropology - End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration

Description

Book Synopsis: “Peter Turchin brings science to history. Some like it and some prefer their history plain. But everyone needs to pay attention to the well-informed, convincing and terrifying analysis in this book.” —Angus Deaton, winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics

From the pioneering co-founder of cliodynamics, the groundbreaking new interdisciplinary science of history, a big-picture explanation for America's civil strife and its possible endgames

Peter Turchin, one of the most interesting social scientists of our age, has infused the study of history with approaches and insights from other fields for more than a quarter century. End Times is the culmination of his work to understand what causes political communities to cohere and what causes them to fall apart, as applied to the current turmoil within the United States. 

Back in 2010, when Nature magazine asked leading scientists to provide a ten-year forecast, Turchin used his models to predict that America was in a spiral of social disintegration that would lead to a breakdown in the political order circa 2020. The years since have proved his prediction more and more accurate, and End Times reveals why.

The lessons of world history are clear, Turchin argues: When the equilibrium between ruling elites and the majority tips too far in favor of elites, political instability is all but inevitable. As income inequality surges and prosperity flows disproportionately into the hands of the elites, the common people suffer, and society-wide efforts to become an elite grow ever more frenzied. He calls this process the wealth pump; it’s a world of the damned and the saved. And since the number of such positions remains relatively fixed, the overproduction of elites inevitably leads to frustrated elite aspirants, who harness popular resentment to turn against the established order. Turchin’s models show that when this state has been reached, societies become locked in a death spiral it’s very hard to exit.

In America, the wealth pump has been operating full blast for two generations. As cliodynamics shows us, our current cycle of elite overproduction and popular immiseration is far along the path to violent political rupture. That is only one possible end time, and the choice is up to us, but the hour grows late.

Details

Are you ready to uncover the secrets of history and gain a deeper understanding of today's political climate? Look no further than "End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration." Written by renowned social scientist Peter Turchin, this groundbreaking book combines science and history to provide a riveting analysis of America's civil strife and its possible endgames. From the Nobel laureate Angus Deaton to leading scientists, critics are raving about Turchin's well-informed, convincing, and terrifying insights.

What sets "End Times" apart is Turchin's unique interdisciplinary approach. Drawing on his decades of experience as a co-founder of cliodynamics, an innovative science of history, he delves into the underlying causes of political cohesion and disintegration. Back in 2010, Turchin's predictive models forecasted America's spiral of social disintegration leading to a breakdown by 2020. With each passing year, his accurate predictions continue to reveal the alarming reality of our current situation.

History has taught us invaluable lessons, and Turchin elucidates them with meticulous detail. As he argues, when ruling elites gain an excessive advantage over the majority, political instability becomes inevitable. With surging income inequality and prosperity overwhelmingly concentrated in the hands of the few, society experiences a relentless struggle for elitism. This phenomenon, aptly termed the "wealth pump," creates a divide between the damned and the saved. Turchin's models demonstrate that societies trapped in this death spiral struggle to break free.

Now is the time to confront the truth about America's wealth pump. For generations, it has driven the relentless production of elites at the expense of the common people. As cliodynamics unveils, our current cycle teeters on the brink of violent political rupture. However, this is not the only end time scenario. The power lies in our hands to shape our future. The clock is ticking, and the hour grows late. Take action now and be enlightened by "End Times."

Don't miss this opportunity to gain a deeper understanding of our world. Purchase "End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration" today, and embark on a journey that will forever change your perspective on history and politics. Click here to get your copy now!

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